Like, ‘depression', ‘recession' has become an unacceptable word, because its use would drain confidence even more heavily. The housing market is already tipping into another negative slide with new house sales falling and mortgage rates at record lows. What can be done? We...see more quantitative easing as being unavoidable within three months, if the bad news continues. This time, [however,] we have to ask, can it be managed without frightening side effects? Words: 833
Read More »Search Results for: deflation
Stöferle: Groundwork Being Set for Major Gains in Gold and Silver
While gold has outperformed all other asset classes in the past ten years, an analysis of our current economic and financial environment indicates that the ongoing increase in precious metals has only just begun and should ensure a sustainably positive environment for gold [and silver, gold and silver shares and the warrants associated with gold and silver companies in the years to come]. Words: 2095
Read More »My 'Taxi Driver Indicator' Says: "Don't Buy Gold Just Yet"
Gold may be going to the moon if not Pluto, but we need to see a few taxi crashes and dinner party pregnant pauses when gold is mentioned before we really take off. Words: 421
Read More »David Goldman: Major Spike in Gold Price Unlikely Anytime Soon
The central banks are so much larger than the gold market that they avoid actions which might cause price spikes.
Read More »Why Many Analysts See Gold Going As High As $10,000 (+8K Views)
My first reaction when I read an article* on this site by Arnold Bock - articulating why gold would go to $10,000 – by 2012 no less - was amazement. Who in their right mind would suggest that gold would eventually reach $2,500, let alone $5,000 or even $10,000? Words: 2097
Read More »Nouriel Roubini: How to Avoid a Double-Dip Global Recession
There is an ongoing debate among global policymakers about when and how fast to exit from the strong monetary and fiscal stimulus that prevented the Great Recession of 2008-2009 from turning into a new Great Depression. Germany and the European Central Bank are pushing aggressively for early fiscal austerity; the United States is worried about the risks of excessively early fiscal consolidation. Words: 957
Read More »Will We or Won't We Have Another Recession Soon – The Case For and Against a Second Dip
I am worried about the possibility of a second dip - of a new recession beginning sometime in the next year or so - before the current recovery has had a chance to produce much improvement. Verbally-intuitively, the case for a second dip still seems pretty overwhelming to me. I take comfort in the knowledge that I tend to have a pessimistic bias, and in the fact that sophisticated quantitative models are generally putting the odds of a second dip quite low. On the other hand, successfully forecasting recessions has not been a strong point of quantitative models. Words: 1433
Read More »Trickster Gold: The 4 Forces Affecting the Price of Gold
That gold is in a long-term uptrend is undeniable...but is gold in semi-bubble territory and set for a dramatic decline, or is it ready to continue on to $1,350 and beyond this summer? Words: 978
Read More »Why We Are Likely to See a DROP in Gold Prices (+2K Views)
for the coming months, deflation is the bigger concern than inflation as China and the EU both experience slowing growth, and the inflation figures remain tame in both the US and Japan - [and that means we are likely to see a DROP in gold prices.] Words: 481
Read More »Japan: The Greece of the East?
Japan is flirting with becoming the Greece of the East. Japan’s legendary household and corporate savings are on a downward trend [and, while current] domestic savers have always been forgiving of the government’s overspending, when [their] savings become inadequate to fund the government’s drain, other investors will be much less sympathetic. Words: 508
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