In response to the financial crisis of 2008, the Fed injected unprecedented levels of liquidity into the banking system. While inflation has been modest to date, an analysis of similar periods in history shows that it typically takes more than two years for the impact on consumer prices to be seen. Consequently, we are now at a pivotal point in the current cycle as Fed stimulus began more than two years ago. [Let me explain further.] Words: 2755
Read More »Search Results for: deflation
Inflation Coming? Treasury Market Says Otherwise!
The Federal Reserve’s dual quantitative easing exercises...have been disappointing thus far and, according to what the multi-billion dollar Treasury market is telling us, the numerous forecasts of upcoming inflationary pressures just do NOT exist. [Let me explain.] Words: 571
Read More »Predicting the Future Price of Gold Is All Relative – Here's Why
“Gold bugs” routinely solicit my prediction regarding the future gold price, assuming I must be an “educated” gold bug since my hedge fund happens to maintain large gold exposure... [but such an answer] depends on variables [such as] what time period? Next week? Month? Year? Ten years? [and] compared to what? U.S. dollars? Euros? Real estate? Gummi bears! [Let me explain.] Words: 955
Read More »Why Hyperinflation is Not Likely – Let Alone Imminent (+2K Views)
The National Inflation Association (NIA) has just posted an article* which makes a number of interesting arguments for the advent of hyperinflation and, while I agree with the conclusion that we could potentially face such an event, I see it as just one of a few possible outcomes. Let me comment on the specific points in the NIA article. Words: 1666
Read More »We Have Fallen Head First Into An Economic Abyss! Here's Why
While the [financial] events of the past few months have not been a surprise [to many I can just imagine how shocking they must be,] however, for those just waking up to the ongoing implosion of our fiscal infrastructure, the bubbling inflationary meltdown just over the horizon, the nightmare unfolding around our national debt... With gasoline nearing $5 a gallon, grain prices doubling, and shelf prices beginning to skyrocket, it’s hard for even the most ignorant suburban schlep to remain oblivious to the problem anymore. We are no longer on the edge of the abyss; we have fallen into it head first… [Let me explain.] Words: 2311
Read More »How Best to Invest Based on 3 Potential Economic Scenarios (+2K Views)
Inflation is the big ‘sword of Damocles´ hanging over our heads and the higher interest rates that may arrive with it over time. We believe that one of three scenarios is probable in the months and years ahead and in this article we provide a summary of these scenarios and give a brief glimpse into the respective investments/asset classes that we consider most suitable in each scenario. Words: 1331
Read More »A Hyperinflationary Great Depression Is Coming to America! Here’s Why (+7K Views)
As the advance squalls from this great financial tempest come ashore, the government could be expected to launch a variety of efforts at forestalling the hyperinflation’s landfall, but such efforts will buy little time and ultimately will fail in preventing the dollar’s collapse.
Read More »‘America Is Bankrupt’ Claim is Total Nonsense! Here’s Why (+2k Views)
We are being bombarded daily with breathy articles about a United States groaning under deficits that surely signal bankruptcy, Social Security checks that eventually won't clear, and of course a looming financial crisis...Much of this commentary is well written - it certainly is popular - but it is total nonsense. [Let me explain.] Words: 960
Read More »These 122 Analysts Now Believe Gold Will Go Parabolic To Between $2,500 and $15,000! (+2K Views)
Believe it or not but I have identified 122 economists, academics, analysts and market commentators who have developed sound rationale as to why they think gold will likely go to a parabolic peak price of at least $2,500 an ounce before the bubble finally pops! Of those 122 prognosticators, 84 –yes, 84 – believe gold could reach a high of $5,000; 51 maintain that a price in excess of $5,000 is more likely, Words: 977
Read More »$5,000 Gold: Who's Missing From This List of Peak Price Prognosticators?
126 economists, academics, gold analysts and market commentators have been identified as maintaining that gold will reach a parabolic peak price of at least $2,500 a troy ounce (ozt) before the bubble finally pops! Of those 126 prognosticators 86 – yes, 86 – believe gold will reach a high of $5,000 ozt; 52 of those maintain that a price in excess of $5,000 ozt is more likely. It would seem it is still not too late to buy into this gold (and silver) bull run. Words: 820
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