Thursday , 14 November 2024

Search Results for: bubbles

Interest Rates NOT Rising Any Time Soon – Even With Fed Tapering. Here’s Why

Everyone and their mom is expecting long-term interest rates to rise now that the Fed is tapering its bond buying programs. I have a couple of problems with this line of thinking because, although it seems like reducing demand for a security (i.e. tapering QE) would result in a drop in price, when you really think about how quantitative easing works this makes no sense and, secondly, the market is telling us this makes no sense. Let me explain.

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Physical Gold vs. Black Gold: A Comparison (+2K Views)

Since gold is physical liquid money and oil is an essential commodity for the economy, it is normal that they correlate negatively in real prices. When the economy goes well, demand for oil increases, whereas demand for gold diminishes. However, if inflation hits, the nominal prices of both assets increases at the same time with inflation

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There IS Danger Ahead for the Markets – Really! Here’s Why (+2K Views)

We fail to pay attention to the warnings signs as long as we see no immediate danger and keep our foot pressed to the accelerator believing that since it hasn’t happened yet, it won’t. This time is only “different” from the perspective of the “why” and “when” the next major event occurs. Below are analyses and exhibits to support that contention.

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Is This Market Correction – an Opportunity to Buy – or a Signal to Sell? (+2K Views)

Stock market volatility, directed mostly to the downside this year, has caught the attention of anyone with funds at risk. The obvious question on most people’s minds is whether to get out or to put more money in. Advice going both ways is readily available. Here are some such articles. Take them into account and make your own decision regarding whether this correction is an opportunity to buy or a signal to sell.

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The NASDAQ is In a Bubble – Definitely! Here’s Why

Investors generally assign higher multiples to many Nasdaq firms, as they expect significant future growth, but if volatility ensues and growth, which is already priced in, isn't realized by these firms a violent reaction to broken promises will ensue just as happened in 2000. For that matter there are a number of similarities between the current level of the Nasdaq index and back then that strongly suggest that the bubble is here. Let me explain why I believe that is the case.

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Soros’ $Billion Bearish Bet on U.S. Stocks Will Fail – Here’s Why

It’s a boom time for doomsayers according to the cover of Barron's and such paranoia-inducing prognostications are only going to get bolder, and more frequent, thanks to the fact that billionaire George Soros' hedge fund firm has increased its bearish bet on stocks – a put position on the S&P 500 Index – by a staggering 154% in the most recent quarter...accounting for 11.13% of his holdings...implying that the stock market is headed for a nasty fall. The efforts of the doom-and-gloom crowd to try and scare you stockless aren't going to succeed this time, though, and here's why.

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Get Ready to “Put the Pedal to the Metal” (Gold & Silver)! Here’s Why (+2K Views)

Over the next couple of months everything should generally rise together but once the dollar puts in an intermediate bottom sometime in March or April, commodities and gold will move down into an intermediate correction as the stock market completes its final blow off top. After the stock market parabola collapses later this summer it will be time to put the pedal to the metal in the commodity markets, and especially the precious metal markets as the Great Inflation begins in earnest.

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