Friday , 1 November 2024

Search Results for: economic collapse

How Low – and How High – Could Gold Go?

Is gold undervalued or overvalued?...[Unfortunately,] there's no good way - and definitely no universally accepted way - to determine a "fair value" for gold. Unlike a stock, gold doesn't have a price-to-earnings ratio that we can easily compare to the market. [That being said, I offer in this article] a logical, real-world price target. Words: 700

Read More »

Market Madness: Stay Tuned, This Story Has Hardly Begun

This summer we are nearing a possible inflection point in terms of Fed actions. The mere suggestion from the Fed that something is going to change is enough to supercharge markets, either up or down....Will markets go to 20,000 or to 5,000? That depends upon the Fed and how much they debauch the currency.......Stay tuned, this story has hardly begun.

Read More »

Variable Interest Rates: Staring Into the Abyss (+2K Views)

It seems that the past few years of falling interest rates have lulled a big part of the global economy into financing with variable-rate debt...[As such,] when interest rates go up (as they did last week), there’s a world-wide reset in interest costs that, best case, amounts to a tax increase on individuals and businesses and, worst-case, threatens to blow up the whole system.

Read More »

Rising Interest Rates Could Plunge Financial System Into a Crisis Worse Than 2008 – Here’s Why (+4K Views)

If yields on U.S. Treasury bonds keep rising, things are going to get very messy. What we are ultimately looking at is a sell-off very similar to 2008, only this time we will have to deal with rising interest rates at the same time. The conditions for a "perfect storm" are rapidly developing, and if something is not done we could eventually have a credit crunch unlike anything that we have ever seen before in modern times. Let me explain.

Read More »

Japan’s Nikkei Index Levels: Past, Present & Likely Future

The Tokyo Nikkei Average rose +82% in just six months in a parabolic move that was doomed from the start. They almost always are. When a parabolic move breaks, as it did in May, the speed of the decline can be catastrophic and has fallen 22% to date. The downside expectation is for prices to return to the level of the basing pattern that preceded it. In this case between 8300 to 9100. That is not a prediction, just the level we at which we might expect to start looking for a tradable bottom.

Read More »