In this article I don't predict a hard date or magnitude of the next market crash but merely point out that there are several catalysts that could easily lead to a large market crash in 2016.

The present economic expansion is being brought about by massive stimulus policies and, as such, does not constitute genuine economic growth. Such bogus economic growth by way of monetary and fiscal stimulus can go on only until either the collapse of hyperinflation brings an end to the artificial boom or the amount of accumulated debt makes state bankruptcy inevitable.

UBS has warned that the seven-year cycle in equities is rolling over, we could see a sharp 30% correction in stocks and that as per the headline of their ‘Technical Outlook 2016′, it is time to “buy gold”.

Commodities as an asset class look like a great bet for 2016, especially with so many dangers lurking in both the stock and bond markets, and an allocation of 20-35% as part of a broader portfolio may be sensible.

The main reason to buy gold and silver any time is as insurance against extreme negative events. The main reason for buying gold in 2016 remains the risk of an international monetary system collapse. Gold is money in extremis.

The financial industry & financial news networks have been discussing whether or not the government should be getting involved with more quantitative easing (QE4) in order to slow down or try to prevent the fall in the markets. This idea is unconscionable to us and it absolutely cannot happen. Here's why.

A tightening cycle by the Fed does one thing every time: slow our economy and end up in a stock market crash. History tells us this and if you haven't taken action yet, you may be running out of time. Here's what you can do to protect yourself:

According to RBS, the global financial markets are already showing signs of significant stress and the conditions are similar to those of the months before the Lehman crisis in 2008. Their advice is to ‘Sell everything’ and brace for a ‘cataclysmic year’!

Don’t tie your fortune to a rising market – and I mean any kind of market anywhere on the globe. This is a time to think strategically, stay hedged and diversified, and avoid big directional bets. I think active and hedged management will be the place to be in the coming period. To quote the motto of House Stark in Game of Thrones, winter is coming...

The following are my best economic “guesses” for the coming year, based on the statistical and technical data trends, for the market, interest rates, the dollar, employment and the economy.