Unknowingly, with QE Infinity, Bernanke has put in motion a runaway move in the stock market that will end in some kind of crash this summer. The crash will cause Bernanke to double down on QE which will trigger a spike in commodity prices. Let me explain my rationale.

Until recently, I have not used the term "stock market crash". I do not take using this term lightly. It brings with it major repercussions. I am now breaking out this phrase because of the current state of the stock market. This stock market crash will occur within the next six months from today... The markets will fall within a combined day/few days a total of at least 20%. Bookmark this article.

[Given the] big swings in enthusiasm for owning common stocks [we thought it timely to present] our opinion on the current temperature of the U.S. stock markets as to what's hot and what's not and the reasons why that is the case.

It's been an amazing run in the stock market but...I start to feel a bit uneasy about things when I see all news reported as good news, because it either means the economy is getting better or more QE is coming. The fact, though, is that the market is just driving higher on what looks like sheer optimism of continued QE and little else. You can see this optimism in two indicators you'll recognize.

Minor tidbits of good news, combined with manipulated and seasonally adjusted economic figures, are giving politicians worldwide reason for spreading their optimistic gospel of recovery that has nothing to do with reality. [They are nothing but] false hope and total misunderstanding of the real state of the world economy.

We have not seen so many financial trouble signs all come together at one time like this since just prior to the last major financial crisis in 2008. It is almost as if a "perfect storm" is brewing, and a lot of the "smart money" has already gotten out of stocks and bonds. Could it be possible that we are heading toward another nightmarish financial crisis?

Divergences between fundamentals, confidence and the valuation of markets are large and, as such, cannot last for long. The only question is how - and how quickly - this correction occurs.

The belief is that rising interest rates (as is currently occurring) are a sign that the economy is improving as activity is pushing borrowing rates higher. In turn, as investors, this bodes well for corporate profitability which supports the current valuations of stocks in the market. While this seems completely logical the question is whether, or not, this is really the case?

The collapse in the STA Risk Ratio, which tracks the most common measures of market sentiment, is a clear signal that something has changed in the market and that risk of a broader correction has risen sharply. While this is only one measure of "risk" it does suggest that investors should pay closer attention to their portfolios than normal and implement some risk management practices.

I generally shy away from making time-specific economic and stock marketstockcrashimages-1 predictions simply because odds are very low you’ll be correct on both the prediction and the timing. However, there are certain times when the environment is conducive for a prediction that comes along with an expiration date. Today is one of those times.