The downside risks to owning gold are much greater than the upside risks. Without the onslaught of newly rich Asian buyers its price is coming back down to more closely track those of other commodity prices and, while I worry that central banks may inadvertently spark a round of higher inflation in the years to come, if I had to reconcile those two views, I would say that today's elevated real price of gold has effectively priced in a lot of higher inflation in the future. This article presents 6 charts which clearly illustrate just what is currently going on.
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Gold/Silver Ratio Trend Suggests Gold Transitioning Into New Bull Market – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
The continuing upward trend in the gold/silver ratio (continuing weakness in silver relative to gold) is not in conflict with the view that gold commenced a cyclical bull market last December and is working its way through a lengthy basing process. Here are the details:
Read More »The Gold Market: What Can We Expect In the Months Ahead? (+2K Views)
We are at an interesting and perhaps critical juncture with respect to the direction of the gold price as it approaches a key support level. There are many mixed signals out there and the market seems to be vacillating, frustrating both bulls and the bears. Let us look at both cases in order to try to understand what the gold market may have in store for us during the coming weeks and months.
Read More »Don’t Buy Gold Until Price Falls Below $1100! Here’s Why (+2K Views)
An analysis of the ratio between the market capitalization of gold and the gross world product over the past 63 years suggests that the current price for gold has further to fall and that it would not be wise to begin buying gold until prices have fallen below at least $1100 - and not expect gold to appreciate beyond $2,000 any time soon. Here's why.
Read More »Final “thud” In Gold to $1,190 Level Coming! Here’s Why (+3K Views)
In spite of the June 2014 pop [I expect to see]...a dip to below the $1190/oz level at some point between now and the end of the month. Here's why.
Read More »The Gold Price Could Go Even Lower – Here Are 5 Reasons Why (+2K Views)
I see various signs that indicate that gold bulls may have to endure one more capitulation to the downside before the next leg of the bull market begins. In what follows I identify what could send the gold price lower and suggest some investment strategies to consider.
Read More »U.S. Dollar Strength Suggests Continuing Decline in Canadian, Australian & U.K. Currencies – and Price of Gold – Here’s Why (+6K Views)
This article suggests that the Australian and Canadian dollars, and the British pound Sterling, can expect to decline significantly relative to the U.S. dollar in the months ahead and gold to decline even further relative to industrial commodity prices. Here's why.
Read More »Gold Rush Is On In China (to replace USD with a gold-backed Renminbi?) (+5K Views)
China consumed, mined and imported the most gold ever in 2013. Does this mean that the PBOC in Beijing plans to eventually back its currency, the Renminbi, with gold with a view to replacing the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency? Here are the details.
Read More »Gold: Likely to Fall to $950 – $1100; Unlikely to Rise Above $2,000 – Here’s Why (+3K Views)
An analysis of the ratio between the market capitalization of gold (MCG) and the gross world product (GWP) over the past 63 years suggests that the current price for gold has further to fall and that it would not be wise to begin buying gold until prices have fallen below at least $1100 or $950.
Read More »Gold In 2014: Price Forecasts ($900 – $1,435) & Commentary (+3K Views)
Below are a series of forecasts and predictions of what 2014 could bring for the price of gold (as low as $900/ozt. & no higher than $1,435/ozt.) and the reasons why with interesting commentary by some individual investors and gold enthusiasts.
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