munKNEE.com Your Key to Making Money
Gold may yet reach US$3000 an ounce, despite recent downward trends according to ETF Securities’ Graham Tuckwell.
So writes James Fernyhough (www.financialstandard.com.au) in edited excerpts from the original article* entitled Gold headed to $3k an ounce says ETF pioneer.
[The following article is presented by Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.munKNEE.com and the FREE Market Intelligence Report newsletter (sample here) and may have been edited ([ ]), abridged (…) and/or reformatted (some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.]
Fernyhough goes on to say in further edited excerpts:
Speaking at an event at the ASX marking 10 years since ETF Securities launched the world’s first gold exchange traded product (ETP), Tuckwell, reportedly worth $775 million in 2012, said:
- Economic uncertainty mean gold’s prospects are better than many forecasters realise.
- Recent highs were not a bubble – the gold bull market has not ended, because “nothing has actually changed.”
- Potential tapering in the US Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing program does not deal with the problem.
- It’s one thing to actually slow down the bond purchases, but where’s the repayment of them, where’s the reversal of that printing of money? If it doesn’t get reversed, the only thing that can happen is the debasement of the currency, and history shows that.
- As interest rates rise, budget deficits are going to feel the pressure.
- Gold is the ultimate headmaster on the countries’ deficits, fiscal discipline, and the value of currency.
While the US$3000 figure is wildly above most forecasts, which are mostly flat at the current level, UBS global commodity analyst Tom Price said these flat forecasts are based less on informed analysis than on the fact that “people just don’t know what’s going on.”
[Editor’s Note: The author’s views and conclusions in the above article are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original post. Furthermore, the views, conclusions and any recommendations offered in this article are not to be construed as an endorsement of such by the editor.]
*http://www.financialstandard.com.au/news/view/33331023
Related Articles:
1. Gold: Buy Now & You Buy Right! Here Are 4 Reasons Why
Q: Is now the time to buy more gold or to finally get in the game? A: Yes. Make sure that you take advantage of today’s price and “mine” your own gold. [Here are 4 reasons why that is the case.] Read More »
2. Governments Will Want – Will NEED – Much Higher Gold Prices! Here’s Why
That governments will want – and will NEED – much, much higher gold and silver prices in the future is counter intuitive, given that they have done everything within their power to throttle back and to keep a lid on bullion prices. Let me explain why. Words: 1300
3. The Case for a “Fair” Gold Price of $10,783/ozt
What would happen to the market/spot price of gold if central banks around the world diverted their foreign currency reserves – almost $11 trillion’s worth – into gold. Using James Turk’s Gold Money Index the “fair” gold price would be $10,783/ozt. Read More »
4. “$10,000 Gold” Exclusive Excerpts from Nick Barisheff’s New Book
$10,000 Gold offers a candid insight into the current state of the economy, the underlying causes of gold’s rising value and why the price of gold will continue climbing to $10,000/ounce and beyond in the years to come. The book contends that intelligent investors have no choice but to invest in this precious metal to stay safe no matter what lies ahead. Read More »
5. Nick Barisheff: $10,000 Gold is Coming! Here’s Why
This is not a typical bull market. Gold is not rising in value, but instead, currencies are losing purchasing power against gold and, therefore, gold can rise as high as currencies can fall. Since currencies are falling because of increasing debt, gold can rise as high as government debt can grow. Based on official estimates, America’s debt is projected to reach $23 trillion in 2015 and, if its correlation with the price of gold remains the same, the indicated gold price would be $2,600 per ounce. However, if history is any example, it’s a safe bet that government expenditure estimates will be greatly exceeded, and [this] rising debt will cause the price of gold to rise to $10,000…over the next five years. (Let me explain further.] Words: 1767
Bubbles tend to follow the 80/20 ratio indicated in the Pareto Principle where approximately 80% of the price move occurs in the LAST 20% of the time. That being the case it would appear that gold and silver could conceivably top out around $9,000 per troy ounce and $250/ozt respectively .This is not a prediction of future prices of gold and silver; it is an indication of what could happen in a speculative bubble environment based on the history of previous bubbles. Words: 1280; Charts: 1
7. Contracting Fibonacci Spiral Puts Gold Near $4,000 by 2013 and $7-10,000 by 2020
Gold is operating on a smaller Contracting Fibonacci Spiral Cycle that is in synch with the larger Contracting Fibonacci Spiral the markets are in. Adding together the sum of parts… the price of gold will move up in price in 2013, 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2020, with each subsequent leg moving less in percentage terms than the prior move. Gold advanced 4 foldish from 1999 until 2008 ($252/ounce to $1046/ounce) suggesting that gold should top out below $4000/troy ounce by the end of January, 2013…[on its way] to $7,000 and $10,000 per troy ounce by 2020. [Let me explain.] Words: 834
8. von Greyetz: Gold Going to $3,500-$5,000 in 12-18 Months – and $10,000 Within 3 Years!
There will be a catalyst coming soon, probably some concerted action of money printing between the Fed, IMF and the ECB. That will happen as a result of the economies, worldwide, collapsing….The catalyst could come from anywhere but the money printing will be part of the next move in gold, that’s for certain….[and it] will lead to collapsing currencies, and investors buying gold at any price…I see gold reaching $3,500 to $5,000 in the next 12 to 18 months. Within 3 years, I see the gold price reaching at least $10,000.
9. The “80-20 Rule” Suggests Gold Will Reach $8,300/ozt in Spring of 2015!
The “Pareto principle” – it’s often referred to as the “80-20 rule” – states that 80% of the effects of something come from just 20% of the causes (that is that 80% of people control 20% of the wealth, that 80% of sales come from 20% of your customers, etc.) and a new report by Erste Group, the Austrian investment bank, says this principle can be applied to bull markets as well, including the current bull market in gold, and following this line of thinking, you get an $8,300 price target for gold by the spring of 2015. Words: 285
10. Update: 51 Analysts Now Maintain that Gold is Going to $5,500 – $6,500/ozt. in 2015!
Lately analyst after analyst (161 at last count) has been climbing on board the golden wagon with prognostications as to what the parabolic peak price for gold will eventually be. That being said, however, only 51 have been bold enough to include the year in which they think their peak price estimate will occur and they are listed below. Take a look at who is projecting what, by when and why. Words: 644
