Wednesday , 17 April 2024

U.S. Dollar Crash Coming – Go For Gold!

Where the gold skeptics have their argument wrong is theirdollar-sign-melting belief in the almighty dollar. If the U.S. dollar crashed then gold prices would undoubtedly surge as the only credible rival safe haven currency, except perhaps the Swiss franc and the crashing of the U.S. dollar is not an unrealistic expectation. Let me explain.

The following are edited excerpts from an article* by Peter Cooper (www.arabianmoney.net) originally entitled How the gold price will defy the skeptics and stage a huge comeback.

The dollar has staged a stellar performance since the start of the year but, that said, if the dollar crashed then gold prices would undoubtedly surge as the only credible rival safe haven currency, except perhaps the Swiss franc. Where the gold skeptics have the argument wrong is their belief in the almighty dollar. Why? Because according to the likes of former Federal Reserve chairman, Alan Greenspan, the U.S. economy is ‘extraordinarily weak’

Dollar crash coming?

It is more fair to say that the U.S. economy looks stronger than its competitors but it is weak enough all the same:

  • labour participation is the lowest in modern history,
  • housing is flat on its back,
  • consumer spending is down despite the huge falls in gas prices and now
  • the exchange rate is massively overvalued making exports uncompetitive.

How then can the U.S. continue to support an extraordinarily strong currency? Is it not living a lie? Could the next few months not bring a realization that the U.S. economy is not such a paragon of virtue?

Indeed things are looking so weak in the first quarter it could be heading for a recession which would mean the Federal Reserve rethinking its current position and kicking the prospect of an interest rate rise out into the long grass. In fact if the economy slows enough it still has room to cut rates.

What would this mean for the dollar and the gold price? Why the dollar would instantly lose its appeal and fall from the very lofty place it now occupies in currency markets. Is the recent spike in its chart not an obvious sign of an unsustainable rise? These exponential spikes crash and burn.

Go for gold

The smart money is quietly shifting to gold now as it would be the major beneficiary of dollar weakness as the only currency in the world without a central bank printing like crazy behind it.

We’ve seen a strong dollar before major financial crises many times before and this time may be no different. When that crisis happens it will be time to ditch the greenback for the one currency you can trust and, given the relatively tight precious metals market, gold and silver prices would soar into the stratosphere, especially if monetary instability pricked the bubble in global bonds and brought down equities too.

[The above article is presented by  Lorimer Wilson, editor of  www.munKNEE.com and has been edited ([ ]), abridged (…) and/or reformatted (some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. The author’s views and conclusions are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original article. This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.]

*Original Source: http://www.arabianmoney.net/gold-silver/2015/03/15/how-the-gold-price-will-defy-the-skeptics-and-stage-a-huge-comeback/

Related Articles from the munKNEE Vault:

1. Update On Michael Noonan As Internet’s Best Gold & Silver Analyst

There is so much hype and cheer-leading out there amongst supposed gold & silver analysts that you probably wonder just who is worth your time to follow, if anyone. Having read and analyzed hundreds and hundreds of articles on the subject I have concluded that there is ONLY one such person. Read More »

2. Gold & Silver Have a Bright Future – Here Are the Many Reasons Why

Optimism, hype, wishful thinking, hope – call it what you will (unabashed cheerleading?) – abounds regarding the future for the price of both gold and silver. Below are just a few such views. Read More »

3. Gold: 42 Specific Peak Price Predictions

Over the years only 42 pundits have been bold enough to provide a specific date as to when their forecast for the future price of gold (and silver, in some cases) would be realized. This article provides that information along with the criteria & rationale for their determinations. Read More »

4. Look No Further – Here’s the Rationale for Owning Gold

Though the river of gold market analysis runs wide and deep on the Internet, precious little of that content is devoted directly to the most basic rationale for gold ownership. Here we fill that void in chart form – a quick reference for the first-time investor. Read More »

5. Do Gold & Silver Stack Up As “Real” Money?

It is impossible to understand and appreciate the tremendous appeal of gold and silver without understanding the precise and comprehensive definition of the word “money”. This article does just that. Read More »

6. Gold: These Charts Say It All!

The following 27 charts provide a historical perspective on Gold in and of itself and its relation with Debt, Inflation and other factors. Anyone interested in gold should look at these charts. Read More »

7. Remain Bullish On Gold & Silver! Here Are 9 Fundamental Factors Why

The consensus amongst analysts is that gold is grossly under-valued in view of its bullish fundamentals and now presents a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for millions of investors worldwide who wanted to own gold but were heretofore leery of its lofty price. Below are 9 fundamental factors behind these bullish opinions. Read More »

8. 10 Reasons Why – Despite the Decline – You Should Own Some Physical Gold and/or Silver

Sit back and take a look at the economic & financial situation in the world today and I wouldn’t be surprised in the least that you will conclude that it makes sense to own some physical gold and/or silver – and there couldn’t be a better time than now, with both down so much in price, to start accumulating some as finances permit. Read More »

9. Long-term Picture Shows Bull Market In Gold & Silver Is STILL Intact

The day is coming when insincere promises made by bankers to deliver tons of silver and gold sometime in an uncertain future will not be good enough to satisfy market demand, and that’s when this farce ends. Expect it to end with a bang, not a whimper, and people will either be in or out when it ends, so the time to get in is now. Read More »

10. 5 Underlying Factors That Drive the Price of Gold

Many gold bugs hold out hope that any day now, gold will resume its march upward to $2,000, then $5,000 and then $10,000 per ounce. In answer to the question “How can anyone reasonably calculate what the value of gold is?” I want to put forth in this post a possible model for doing just that. The purpose of the model isn’t to say where gold will go but to look at the underlying factors that drive the price of the precious metal. Read More »

11. Is Owning Gold A Crazy Notion? I Think Not! Here’s Why

Why do more and more countries want to repatriate their gold from foreign vaults? Because their governments no longer trust the global, fiat monetary system…[Neither] should you. Let me explain further. Read More »

12. Gold Should Bounce Sharply Higher – Here Are 10 Reasons Why

Is it time to throw in the towel? Is the bull market in precious metals really over? I don’t think so because my analyses suggest that nearly all of the fundamental factors that have been driving the gold price higher in the past decade have only strengthened in the past two years. Now that the correction has most likely run its course, I expect gold to bounce sharply higher. Here are 10 reasons why. Read More »