For the moment, things are looking pretty good in the United States but…our financial markets are perfectly primed for a fall.
The above introductory comments are edited excerpts from an article* by Michael Snyder (theeconomiccollapseblog.com) entitled Serious Financial Trouble Is Erupting In Germany And Japan.
Snyder goes on to say in further edited excerpts:
Other experts see things the same way. Just consider what John Hussman wrote recently:
“As I did in 2000 and 2007, I feel obligated to state an expectation that only seems like a bizarre assertion because the financial memory is just as short as the popular understanding of valuation is superficial: I view the stock market as likely to lose more than half of its value from its recent high to its ultimate low in this market cycle.
At present, however, market conditions couple valuations that are more than double pre-bubble norms (on historically reliable measures) with clear deterioration in market internals and our measures of trend uniformity. None of these factors provide support for the market here. In my view, speculators are dancing without a floor.”
It isn’t just stocks that could potentially be on the verge of a massive decline. The bond market is also experiencing an unprecedented bubble right now and, when that bubble bursts, the carnage will be unbelievable. This has become so obvious that even CNBC is talking about it…[saying:]
“Picture this: The bond market gets spooked by a sudden interest rate scare, sending a throng of buyers streaming toward the exits, only to find a dearth of buyers on the other side.
As a result, liquidity evaporates, yields soar, and the U.S. finds itself smack in the middle of another debt crisis no one saw coming.
It’s a scenario that TABB Group fixed income head Anthony J. Perrotta believes is not all that far-fetched, considering the market had what could be considered a sneak preview in May 2013. That was the “taper tantrum,” which saw yields spike and stocks sell off after then-Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke made remarks that the market construed as indicating rates would rise sooner than expected.”
If the strength of our financial markets reflected overall strength in the U.S. economy there would not be nearly as much cause for concern but, at this point, our financial markets have become completely and totally divorced from economic reality.
The truth is that our economic fundamentals continue to decay. In fact, the IMF says that China now has the largest economy on the planet on a purchasing power basis. The era of American economic dominance is ending. It is just that the financial markets have not gotten the memo yet.
Hopefully we still have at least a few more months before stock markets all over the world start crashing, but remember, we are entering the seventh year of the seven year cycle of economic crashes that so many people are talking about these days and we are definitely primed for a global financial collapse.
- Should Financial Market Cycles Play A Role In Your Decision-making Process?
- Cycle Analysis Suggests S&P 500 Has Topped & Will Decline To Major Low In 2016
Sadly, most people did not see the crash of 2008 coming, and most people will not see the next one coming either.
Editor’s Note: The author’s views and conclusions in the above article are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original post. Furthermore, the views, conclusions and any recommendations offered in this article are not to be construed as an endorsement of such by the editor.
*http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/financial-trouble-is-already-erupting-in-germany-and-japan (Copyright © 2014 The Economic Collapse)
If you liked this article then “Follow the munKNEE” & get each new post via
- Our Newsletter (sample here)
- Twitter (#munknee)
Related Articles:
1. History Says “Expect An Economic Crash AGAIN In 2015″ – Here’s Why
Large numbers of people believe that an economic crash is coming next year based on a 7-year cycle of economic crashes that goes all the way back to the Great Depression. Such a premise is very controversial – some of you will love it, and some of you will think that it is utter rubbish – so I just present the bare bone facts below for you decide for yourself if it is something to seriously consider protecting yourself from in 2015. Read More »
2. Take Note Because Those Investors Who Ignore These Observations Do So At Their Great Peril
Is a major top at hand? It is often said that bells do not ring to signal the end of a bull market but if the broad averages were in fact to plummet in the weeks ahead, never forget that bells did indeed ring. This article contains the opinions of three heavyweights in the guru world which are so insightful that any investors who ignore their observations do so at their great peril. Read More »
3. This Weekend’s Financial Entertainment: “A Stock Market Crash IS Coming!”
Our financial system is in far worse shape than it was just prior to the financial crash of 2008. The truth is that we are right on schedule for the next great financial crash. You can choose to ignore the warnings if you would like but, ultimately, time will reveal who was right and who was wrong and, unfortunately, I think I will be proven to have been right. Read More »
4. Coming Stock Market Enema Will Be A VERY Messy Occasion!
Who knows how long before the Dow Jones Index finally receives a well overdue market enema, but I can assure you of this, when it arrives it will be a VERY messy occasion! Read More »
5. Present Bull Rally In Stocks Dangerously “Beyond the Pale” – Here’s Why
It is frighteningly clear to any objective analyst and/or intelligent investor that the present bull market rally in stocks (2006-2014) is “beyond the pale” (outside the bounds of acceptable behavior) i.e. the excess valuation is dangerously above the market excesses of the 1920s. Read More »
6. We’re All Cued Up For A Bear! Here’s Why
When taking a step back and viewing longer-term gauges, we see warning signs flashing. Many of these readings are in extreme territories, and historically bear markets have occurred from such overbought positioning. We are all cued up for a bear! Read More »
7. Take Note: A Bubble Isn’t Necessary To Have A Sharp Decline In Stocks
With valuations stretched, investors seem to be justifying their stock purchases here with the argument that we have yet to reach the mania of 1999-2000 but history has shown us that there doesn’t have to be a bubble for there to be a sharp decline in stocks. As we saw in 2007, it doesn’t mean there is no risk of a significant market decline or that valuations are compelling and that investors should be expecting above average long-term returns from here. They should not. Read More »
8. SELL! U.S. Stock Market Is An Investor’s Nightmare – Here’s Why
The stock market is presently a roulette wheel with dimes on black and dynamite on red. We continue to have extreme concerns about the extent of potential market losses over the completion of the present market cycle. Read More »
9. Myth #1: There Is A Direct Relationship Between Interest Rates & Stock Prices
Events and conditions do not make investors behave in any particular way that can be identified as shown in this analysis of the supposed relationship between interest rates and stock prices. So much for the popular claim that “Interest rates drive stock prices”! Read More »
10. Interest Rates Play A MAJOR Role In the Behavior Of the Stock Market – Here’s Why
To understand how the stock market behaves it is imperative to realize that the stock market is overwhelmingly influenced by interest rates. It’s difficult to overstate this key fact. Interest rates are the bone and marrow of the stock market. More specifically, the stock market is ruled by long-term and short-term interest rates creating an overriding framework for what drives the market in which different sectors do better or worse at different points in the economic cycle. This article explains the behavior more fully. Read More »
11. Coming Bear Market Could Turn Into A Historic Crash – Here’s Why
Amazingly, we are on the verge of a global deflationary downturn and what could be a historic bear market, yet Wall Street prognosticators remain focused on the inflationary risks of excessive monetary stimulus. Their focus could not be more wrong. Let me explain further. Read More »
12. This Indicator Is 94% (Yes, 94%!) Negatively Correlated to Future Stock Market Returns!
What investors are actually doing with their money – acting out of fear or greed – is a better predictor of future stock market returns than even Buffett’s favorite, and highly touted, total market capitalization-to-GNP valuation measure. How do we use this information as a contrary indicator? How do we put it into practice? Read on. Read More »
13. It’s Just A Matter Of Time Before the Stock Market Bubble Is Pricked! Here’s Why
Once again the stock market is in full bubble mode. The market was already overvalued earlier this year and the froth continues to build. Valuations are off the chart and euphoria is setting in while, at the same time, you have inflation eroding the purchasing power of regular Americans not participating in this casino. All the signs of a bubble top are there – massive speculation, unexplainable valuations, and blind optimism – even though the fundamentals don’t make any sense. This article substantiates that contention. Read More »
14. These 6 Indicators Reveal A Great Deal About Market’s “Upside” Potential
Trying to predict markets more than a couple of days into the future is nothing more than a “wild ass guess” at best but, that being said, we can make some reasonable assumptions about potential outcomes based on our extensive analysis of these 6 specific price trend and momentum indicators. Read More »
15. What Does the 10-year Yield’s Death Cross Mean For Stocks?
The 10-year yield’s Death Cross has proven to be a pretty significant risk-off shot across the bow over the last decade and this matters today because the 10-year yield put in a Death Cross back in early April of this year. So what does the 10-Year’s Death Cross mean for stocks this time? Read More »
16. Financial Asset Values Hang In Mid-air Like Wile E. Coyote – Here’s Why
The financial markets are drastically over-capitalizing earnings and over-valuing all asset classes so, as the Fed and its central bank confederates around the world increasingly run out of excuses for extending the radical monetary experiments of the present era, even the gamblers will come to recognize who is really the Wile E Coyote in the piece. Then they will panic. Read More »
17. Look Out Below? Buffett Market Indicator Has Now Surpassed 2007 Level
Market Cap to GDP is a long-term valuation indicator that has become popular in recent years, thanks to Warren Buffett and it is now at the second highest level in the past 60 years – even surpassing the levels reached in 2007. Read More »
18. World’s Stock Markets Are Saying “Let’s Get Ready to Tumble!”
To ignore all the compelling charts and data below would be irresponsible and, as such, will NOT go unnoticed by institutional investors. Such bearish barometers for stocks worldwide will, unfortunately, be ignored by the ignorant and gullible hoi pollo causing them severe financial loss as investor complacency in the past has nearly always led to a stock market crash. Read More »
19. Stock Market Bubble to “POP” and Cause Global Depression
In their infinite wisdom the Fed thinks they have rescued the economy by inflating asset prices and creating a so called “wealth affect”. In reality they have created the conditions for the next Great Depression and now it’s just a matter of time…[until] the forces of regression collapse this parabolic structure. When they do it will drag the global economy into the next depression. Let me explain further. Read More »
20. All Is NOT Hunky Dory In the Stock Market – Here’s Why
We look at this market and we see “too much.” Too much divergence, too much complacency, too much embedded downside risk…the list goes on and covers many things. Let’s make the rounds and see what we find [and what it means for the immediate well-being of the various stock markets.] Read More »
21. Should Financial Market Cycles Play A Role In Your Decision-making Process?
Financial markets are influenced by relatively predictable cycles and should play a big role in one’s decision-making process just as they do in our day-to-day lives. This article takes a look at several and discusses their relevance to one’s investment management process. Read More »
22. Cycle Analysis Suggests S&P 500 Has Topped & Will Decline To Major Low In 2016
While the majority is looking at the Megaphone Pattern correction since the 2000 high and is expecting the market to go back to the lower trend line of this pattern and to make new lows, I think that it will not happen. The opinion of the majority can be used as a contrarian indicator. I think that a healthy correction in this new Secular Bull Market could push the Dow Jones to 12500-13500 (end of 2015 – half 2016) followed by a second leg up of this new Secular Bull Market. Read More »
23. Many Economic Cycle Theorists Believe 2014 to 2020 Is Going To Be Pure Hell For the U.S.!
Many mainstream economists want nothing to do with economic cycle theorists, but it should be noted that economic cycle theories have enabled some analysts to correctly predict the timing of recessions, stock market peaks and stock market crashes over the past couple of decades – and there are many economists who believe that the period from 2014 to 2020 is going to turn out to be pure hell for the United States. Read More »
24. Where Are We In the Current Economic/Market Cycle? These Charts Will Help You Decide
There is a debate on Wall Street between those who believe we have entered into the next “secular bull market” and those who believe that the current market advance is predicated on artificial stimulus and, as such, the “secular bear market” remains intact. Take a look below at a series of charts designed to allow you to draw your own conclusions and convey your view in the comments section at the very bottom of the page. Words: 719; Charts: 12 Read More »
25. These 20 Cycle Theories Suggest Stock Markets, Gold & Bonds To Severely Correct
Unsustainable trends can survive much longer than most people anticipate, but they do end when their “time is up” – at the culmination of their time cycles…In an effort to bring clarity in how and when these trends could change direction we analyzed more than 20 different cycles. They almost unanimously point to tectonic shifts in the months and years ahead … starting now. We have been warned. At this point, we have enough confirmation to accept that the gold and silver crash – starting in April of 2013 – was the first shot across the board of what is to come. Read on! Read More »