Investing

[In spite of the Dow now being at] a record high the Risk Premium Factor (RPF) Valuation Model shows that the broader market, based on S&P 500, is still undervalued by about 5%. [Let me explain further.] Words: 550; Charts: 1

Investing...is dead! It died when markets became dominated by political rather than economic events. Investing principles that worked for most of the last 150 years are irrelevant in today’s politicized world. Investors, whether they know it or not, have been forced into a gigantic game of financial chicken....We are all forced to play this game whether we consider ourselves investors or not. [Let me explain.] Words: 848

Analyst after analyst (in excess of 170 at last count) has been forecasting what the parabolic peak price for gold will eventually be. That being said, however, only 43 have been bold enough to include the year in which they think their peak price estimate will occur and they are listed below. Take a look at who is projecting what, by when and why. Words: 400

History shows that when investors experience a rapid decline in the amount of available cash in their brokerage account to spend/invest quickly such "negative net worth" leads to major corrections in the stock market. Currently such is the case so can we expect another such decline or will it be different this time?

The Dow has surpassed its all-time record high - set in October 2007 - and the S&P 500 is not far behind? Is this the early stage of another great bull market? Let's look back at the two previous times when the S&P 500 set new all-time highs and see if we can learn something. Wait...first put your "this time it's different" glasses on. OK, let's go. Words: 430; Charts: 1

The breakdown after the QE4 announcement, and now the extreme move into a yearly cycle low has, I daresay, convinced everyone that the gold bull is over. I would argue that it is impossible for the gold bull to be over as long as central banks around the world continue to debase their currencies [and that] gold is just creating the conditions - a T-1 pattern - necessary for its next leg up to what I expect to be...around $3200 sometime in late 2014 or early 2015. [Let me explain.] Words: 560; Charts: 3

The US Treasury Bond market is the longest unbroken bull market known to the financial world [thanks in large part to the Fed who is] buying up every penny of newly issued government debt. [In doing so] this issuance of debt is following the exact path of the Jean-Paul Rodrigue' "bubble model". Words: 290; Charts: 4; Tables 1

People who are saying there is no reason to buy gold now, never understood the reason people were buying it in the first place. People weren’t buying gold because they were worried about a crisis in the Eurozone or weak US stocks. People were buying gold because central banks were printing too much money. It’s inflation that drives the gold train, not political uncertainty.

The stock markets make no sense. They have literally lost touch with reality. Divergences between fundamentals, confidence and the valuation of markets are large [and, as such,] cannot last for long....The only question is how...and how quickly....this correction occurs. Words: 261

Most everything you've heard about investing from the mainstream media, your mutual fund advisor and your tax accountant is a lie. You’ve been told...that the entire point of portfolio diversification is to mitigate downside risk yet when the market experiences the inevitable decline, every sector pushes significantly lower - and your “diversified” portfolio suffers as a result, [right? Well, there IS a better way.] Hear me out. Words: 895