Gold & Silver

Does the fast-fading world reserve currency [the USD] look like it is collapsing? A look at the performance of the U.S. Dollar Index does not suggest that it is, weak as it is. If the fiat dollar is not in danger of imminent “collapse,” or even breaking down, then gold does not have this event as an impetus for rallying higher. [Frankly speaking,] until that changes, gold ain’t going higher, at least in the short term.

The demand for silver has grown exponentially in the past few years (record sales for American Eagle coins, record buying in India), but supply, on the other hand, keeps diminishing...Whenever there is a situation where demand rises sharply, while supply commensurately declines, it is a recipe for higher prices, and usually, much higher prices. This is true, unless one is talking about the silver market...[which] is at its lowest levels in the past three years. With talk of silver going anywhere from $150 to $500 higher, it currently struggles to hold $20. Why is this so?

The inevitable end for central bank control...is certain: the end is near, and fiat currencies are likely to implode and cause enormous financial ruin for those unprepared. It is crucial, now more than ever to be buying physical silver. Let me explain more fully and update you on just what the charts are saying today.

Don't you just hate that gloating expression "I told you so!" Well, unfortunately some analysts had the foresight to forecast prices of $1,200 per troy ounce (or less!) and $19 silver several months ago.

According to the charts, the price of silver is not ready to reverse its trend. [In fact,] the monthly chart, and the lower time frames, clearly indicate the trend as down....The probability is high (80%) that the last swing low (in June) to $18 will be exceeded.

The next black swan is already staring us in the face. It's out of control currency debasement and it's going to be a collapse in the purchasing power of the US dollar. [After all,] does anyone seriously think that we can print trillions of dollars out of thin air for five years and not eventually have something bad happen?

The decline is holding near the last swing low. Will the June low hold? The odds are greater for the low not holding, based on the trend, but there is no way to determine the probability of the June low giving way, for it is possible it will not.

The dramatic rise in Bitcoin is the best reminder for all those buying and holding physical gold and silver, for whatever length of time and at whatever price, better days are assured. It is just a matter of time.

While the stock market is the only game in town - for now - stocks will not continue to out perform all other asset classes indefinitely. Eventually either bonds and gold will rally or stocks will crash very hard. It is one, the other, or even more likely a mixture of both.

No matter what the latest “news” development is for PMs that paints a rosy picture, those in the fundamentalist camp are looking through rose-colored glasses to expect change in the near future. The charts for gold & silver continue to tell a more accurate story that belie all known fundamentals, and the charts shown here depict a market in decline with no apparent end in sight.