Sunday , 22 December 2024

Asset Allocation

David Dreman More Accurately Forecasts Market Trends Than Most Anyone Else – Here Is His Record

We evaluate here the commentary of David Dreman at Forbes.com regarding the stock market via his archived articles since the beginning of 2001 [and what an accomplished record it is. He is tied for second place with Ken Fisher with a 64% accuracy rating which is well above the 46% rating of a list of 36 of his peers. Jack Schannep is the most accurate at 66%. Below are his market forecasts on specific sectors of the market over the years compared to how well said sectors actually did.] Words: 1706

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Understanding Systematic Risk, Modern Portfolio Theory and the Efficient Frontier (4K Views)

Risk inherent to the entire market or market segment is referred to as systematic risk and modern portfolio theory says that a blend of investments has the potential to increase overall return for a given level of risk, and/or decrease risk for a given return that the investor is trying to achieve. The expected risk/return relationship is known as the efficient frontier. [If you have a portfolio of investments then you need to fully understand what all this really means and how you can apply it to your portfolio makeup to enhance returns under any circumstances. Let me do just that.] Words: 1325

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6 Bull Market Sectors at Risk of Becoming the Next Big Bubbles

As those familiar with the basics of Austrian economics can attest, an increase in the supply of money and credit [often leads to] asset bubbles in whatever sector(s) the new money and credit find their way into. With the U.S. economy so robust it will not go down easily and, as such, there is still the possibility that the Fed's radical inflationary policies will not break the dollar, but just kick the can down the road one more time, and unleash one more bubble before the bill for 40+ years of monetary madness is finally due. What sectors are most likely to be the recipient of a bubble? [Let's look at the possibilities.] Words: 1212

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Take Advantage of Current Excessive Liquidity With a Tactical Approach to Investing – Here's How

The growth in liquidity in global systems has become staggering...[reaching] a whopping $15 trillion - and rising - from the world's eight largest central banks [alone as shown in the chart below.]...[That's equal to almost] one-third of world equity values...which means that central banks are creating another bubble...No wonder the stock market is rising. [With so] much liquidity,...and with interest rates so low, there is no place to go but "risk on" assets. [That being said,] investors need to know how to capitalize on this short term phenomenon and how to prepare for the inevitable burst. [Let me explain further.] Words: 489

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Charles Nenner’s Cycle Analysis Predicts Dow to Peak in 2012 and Then Decline to 5,000 – and Much More! (+2K Views)

Charles Nenner has been accurately predicting movements in the liquid markets for more than 25 years, and his most recent cycle analysis predicts that the current stock market rally is going to last through Q2 and then begin a major descent in 2013 - with the Dow eventually reaching 5,000! Read on to learn how Nenner's unique system works and what he forecasts for commodities, currencies, bonds, interest rates and more. Words: 435

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Financial Advisors' Financial Advisory #4 – Preparing for 2012

If you are tired of spending hours each week searching for articles that are extremely informative, relatively brief and very well-written, then go no further than munKNEE.com. Here is a sampling of articles posted on the site this past week related to what is happening in the economy and the gold market and what the future holds for its price. Words: 1049

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Gold Bullion, Stocks or Bonds: Which Have More Long-term Investment Risk?

In proclaiming buy-and-hold investing to be dead, the pseudo-experts masquerading as financial advisors have abandoned the fundamental principle of investing: buying undervalued assets - and then giving those assets the time necessary to mature. Instead, these charlatans have forced their clients to become short-term gamblers. Worse still, they are now consistently steering their clients toward the worst possible asset-classes, stocks and bonds, rather than the best ones [simply because they do not] understand the fundamental conceptual difference between risk and volatility. In a market populated by panicked lemmings, we cannot avoid volatility. However, we can and must reduce risk - which begins by building an allocation of history's true safe haven asset, precious metals. [Let me explain more about what risk and volatility are and are not.] Words: 1080

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