Monday , 4 November 2024

Inflation/Deflation

QE4 Will Continue Until "The Cows Come Home & the Fat Lady Sings" But It Too Will Fail!

[The just announced] QE4 will see the Fed buying $85B per month in U.S. Tbonds and Fanny/Freddie bonds with newly printed dollars - essentially debasing the dollar by 1 $trillion per year. The cold reality, however, is that each time QE is launched we get less wealth-effect bang for the buck and more inflation and, IMO, by the time it's switched off in mid-2014, we will have a real-world inflation rate of 5%+. (Words: 863; Charts: 2)

Read More »

Inflation: Who Have A More Inflated View – Men or Women?

The public's estimates and predictions of inflation are significantly, and systematically, related to the demographic characteristics of the respondents...[and] even after we hold constant income, age, education, race, and marital status...women in our survey tended to think inflation was 1.9 percentage points higher than men. [There are more interesting findings, so read on.] Words: 987

Read More »

and the Winner of the DE-flation/IN-flation Battle is About to Be….?

Many investors are positioning their portfolios based upon their opinions as to whether or not we will encounter IN-flation or DE-flation. Well, what the MS Commodity Index (CRX) does over the next few weeks might tell us a good deal about how to best position one's portfolio. Take a look at the latest CRX graph below for an indication.

Read More »

Commentary on QE3 Exclaims: "We Have Been Warned!"

QE3 looks like a desperate act to feed money to large banks, offload MBS toxic waste from their balance sheets, devalue the dollar against houses, commodities, and other currencies and create significant collateral damage in the form of consumer price inflation according to a number of respected economists and critical thinkers on the subject of QE3. [Let's take a look at what they have to say.] Words: 1661

Read More »

Runaway Inflation That Would Devastate USD Seems Unlikely – Here’s Why (+2K Views)

Many investors are treating inflation as a certainty because the Fed has expanded its balance sheet to unheard of levels through its quantitative easing strategy. Some have even gone so far as to say that this program will utterly destroy the U.S. currency. To demystify this conclusion, I’m going to explain quantitative easing and why the Fed is using this monetary strategy. Afterward, I’ll explain why gold is still positioned to rise even if inflation continues to be low. Words: 786

Read More »