Fasten your seat belts! Below is my forecast of what will unfold in the U.S. in 2015. Forecasts related to geopolitical particulars (covering Russia, China, Japan, USA, Europe & the Islamic State) and financial matters (covering banking & oil) are covered in subsequent posts.
Read More »New Model Suggest $2,000 Gold by End Of 2015 & $5,000 – $10,000 By 2021
In spite of the fact that gold has rallied from a price of $1,140 last November, my long-term empirical model suggests it is still undervalued and has the potential to rally to $2,000 by late 2015 or 2016 and quite possibly to between $5,000 and $10,000 in six years time. This article explains why that is the case.
Read More »Gold: 42 Specific Peak Price Predictions (+5K Views)
Over the years only 42 pundits have been bold enough to provide a specific date as to when their forecast for the future price of gold (and silver, in some cases) would be realized. This article provides that information along with the criteria & rationale for their determinations.
Read More »Deflation Doesn’t Necessarily Have To Be Bad – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
Deflation is often considered a highly unfavorable phenomenon, however there are different types of deflation that have different implications. In other words, the effects of deflation depend to a large extent on the particular context...This article distinguishes between good deflation and bad deflation.
Read More »How Well Gold-Mining Sector Performs During A General Equity Market Decline Depends On These Factors
The gold-mining sector performs very well during the first 18-24 months of a general equity bear market as long as...
Read More »Despite Weakness In Gold & Silver, Mining Stocks Remain Well Up From Lows (3K Views)
After falling out of favor for so long, gold stocks are overdue to soar this year. The smart contrarians buying in early before the rest of the herd starts understanding gold stocks’ vast upside potential are going to earn fortunes. This article looks at the performance of the HUI, XAU, GDX & GDXJ over the last few months of decline to their lows and their most recent ascent.
Read More »Silver:Gold Ratio Suggests +$200/ozt Silver Quite Plausible! Here’s Why (+4K Views)
Given the fact that a) the historical movement of silver is 90 – 98% correlated withgold-silver gold, b) silver is currently greatly undervalued relative to its average long-term historical relationship with gold and c) many analysts predict a parabolic rise in the price of gold over the next 5 years it is realistic to expect that silver will also escalate dramatically in price - but by how much? This article applies the historical silver to gold ratios to come up with a range of prices based on specific price levels for gold being reached.
Read More »Deflationary Risks Rising In the U.S. – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
Unlike a number of countries in Europe the U.S. is currently not dealing with general price declines but, that being said, the risks of such an occurrence have increased materially. This article outlines a number of such deflationary risks and how they might impact the U.S. economy.
Read More »Rickards, Roubini, Sinclair et al On the Future Of Gold & Silver (+3K Views)
The internet is awash with analysts who believe that gold is going to $7,250+forecasting crystal ball and as low as $725 and that silver is going down to $12 or higher than $120. Such pundits (Roubini, Sinclair, Rickards, Willie and Edelson to name a few) grab a lot of attention in the media but are their prognostications worth paying attention to or are they just a lot of hot air?
Read More »Martin Armstrong Believes A Sovereign Debt “Big Bang” Is Underway – Here’s Why (+4K Views)
Martin Armstrong sees a peak in bond prices by October 1st, 2015 and a low in interest rates from that point forward - a "Sovereign Debt Big Bang" - and, as the defaults begin to materialize over the following 2 years, a run-up in stocks for safety with interest rates rising along with share prices. Below are excerpts from Armstrong's blog complete with notable charts of his Economic Confidence Model.
Read More »