Investing

One of the most enduring of Wall Street axioms - falling somewhere under "buy low and sell high" but above "greed is good" - is to "sell in May and go away" and, indeed, there appeared to be some truth to the saying. Between 1950 and 2012, the Dow Jones gained an average of 7.6% annually during the November-April period, but only 0.4% during May-October. Does "Sell In May and Go Away" still hold true as a viable investment strategy? Not according to my analysis. Here's why.

What is unique about this rally is the excessive premium being placed on future earnings and economic growth. Unfortunately, the level and term structure of interest rates are not confirming the broad logic behind these equity market valuations. In fact, they damn that logic. In the past, when high valuation measures occurred and subsequent GDP was weak, the stock market has posted substantial losses. What can we expect this time?

Warren Buffett's favorite macro valuation tool is screaming that U.S. stocks are nearing bubble territory. This is a time to stay tactical, focus on income, and look to buy pockets of value as you see them.

According to a new study from the IMF, correlations in general are much more elevated these days than they were before the financial crisis. In other words, there are fewer places to hide in the markets when the markets start tanking. Check out their Global Financial Stability Report that's been described as "not for the faint-hearted." and the red bars in the chart below.

The DOOM & GLOOM pundits are predicting a crash saying that this economic cycle has over-stretched itself - but look again!!!

For months numerous articles have been posted on this site substantiating why a stock market collapse of epic proportions is in the cards to happen soon. The basis for such a conclusion are based on a diverse perspective that warrants your attention. With your money on the line - your future quality of life at risk - here is your opportunity to be forewarned and do something about it.

The best business news channel on television is now available here. Its called Business News Network (BNN) and broadcasts programming related to business/financial/economic news and analysis via broadcast reports, video interviews and various articles. Below are links to a number of categories that might be of interest to you.

Much has been written that it is impossible to time the market - that a buy and hold approach is much more rewarding - but that is simply not the case. This article provides you with the knowledge and a great charting service (free) to do just that.All you need do then is set aside the time and make the effort to apply the disciplines learned.

The current stock market volatility is really not about interest rate ticks in the federal funds market. It's actually about the fact that the entire post-crisis bull market is a monumental house of cards built on a historically aberrant monetary regime that is unsustainable and eventually heading for a crash landing. Let me explain.

On March 9th, 2009 the S&P 500 hit a low of 676.53 and, since that day, it has risen more than 200%. On only 2 other occasions within the last 100 years has the S&P 500 performed this well over a 6 year time frame. This has been great for investors but in both previous instances (1929 & 1999), the end result was utter disaster. Will it be different this time?