The price ratio of gold versus silver has been dropping in the last couple of years in favor of the white precious metal. At the moment, the gold/silver ratio is trading below the ”crucial” bandwidth of 40-to-50, currently hovering around 38x... [which] marks the beginning of a new phase in the bull cycle. The gold/silver ratio could finally be on its way to our target of 16x, the historical bottom in the last century. [Let me explain why I think that may well be the case.] Words: 580
Read More »How Best to Invest Based on 3 Potential Economic Scenarios (+2K Views)
Inflation is the big ‘sword of Damocles´ hanging over our heads and the higher interest rates that may arrive with it over time. We believe that one of three scenarios is probable in the months and years ahead and in this article we provide a summary of these scenarios and give a brief glimpse into the respective investments/asset classes that we consider most suitable in each scenario. Words: 1331
Read More »These 122 Analysts Now Believe Gold Will Go Parabolic To Between $2,500 and $15,000! (+2K Views)
Believe it or not but I have identified 122 economists, academics, analysts and market commentators who have developed sound rationale as to why they think gold will likely go to a parabolic peak price of at least $2,500 an ounce before the bubble finally pops! Of those 122 prognosticators, 84 –yes, 84 – believe gold could reach a high of $5,000; 51 maintain that a price in excess of $5,000 is more likely, Words: 977
Read More »$5,000 Gold: Who's Missing From This List of Peak Price Prognosticators?
126 economists, academics, gold analysts and market commentators have been identified as maintaining that gold will reach a parabolic peak price of at least $2,500 a troy ounce (ozt) before the bubble finally pops! Of those 126 prognosticators 86 – yes, 86 – believe gold will reach a high of $5,000 ozt; 52 of those maintain that a price in excess of $5,000 ozt is more likely. It would seem it is still not too late to buy into this gold (and silver) bull run. Words: 820
Read More »Timing Is Everything When Assessing the Future Price of Gold
A basic understanding of gold price phases throughout the year [provides the answer to the question:] "What's next for the price of gold?" Let me explain. Words: 758
Read More »Will Gold Drop to $1,200 Before Spurting to $2,000?
In the long run developments in the financial markets and around the world seem to conspire to whip up a perfect storm for the gold price, taking it up towards $2,000 and further. That new upleg, however, could very well start from a much lower level than now. There are quite a few developments that could easily send the gold price lower in the coming months. Is $1,200 in the cards? Words: 774
Read More »Gold & Silver Warrants Index (GSWI) Constituents: March Update (+2K Views)
The galaxy of warrants consists of only 146 stars (i.e. constituents) of which only 33 are associated with 30 commodity-related stocks that have sufficient brightness (i.e. 24+ months duration) to warrant (the pun is intended!) the attention of earthly investors. Words: 1579
Read More »What Does the Future Hold for the Dow:Gold Ratio? (+2K Views)
The Dow:Gold ratio is defined as the ratio of the price of the Dow Jones Industrial Average divided by the price of gold [or] how many ounces of gold it takes to buy the 30-stock Dow. The current Dow:Gold ratio of 8.5 is up 21.1% from its 17-year March 6, 2009 low of 7.0 and 81% below its 1999 peak of 44.77. [What does the future hold? Higher gold prices, lower stock prices or vice versa?] Words: 400
Read More »Goldrunner: Fractal Analysis Suggests Silver to Reach $52 – $56 by May – June 2011
Dollar Inflation remains the driver of the pricing environment for almost everything denominated in U.S. Dollars as long as the Fed continues to monetize debt. The debt monetization creates Dollar Inflation that results in Dollar Devaluation. By the time the Fed has ramped up the QE II that they have announced will end in June, I expect Gold, Silver, and the HUI will have risen to $1860 - $1975, $52 - $56 and 940 - 970 respectively. Let me show you why. Words: 1301
Read More »Note: Current Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings Ratio Says S&P 500 is Over-valued (+3K Views)
The Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings Ratio, abbreviated as CAPE, or the more precise P/E10, closely tracks the real (inflation-adjusted) price of the S&P Composite. After dropping to 13.3 in March 2009, the P/E10 has rebounded to 23.0. The historical average is 16.39 raising concerns about the current price level of the S&P Composite. Let me explain. Words: 1298
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