Investing

After the volatility in the markets [recently] I decided to take a look at the major indices to see how accurate the "sell in May and go away" [i.e. "buy in on November 1st, and sell out the last trading day of April"] trading philosophy was in protecting investors this year [and] was astounded [to see] that all three indices (the Russell 2000 Value Index, the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrials) had highs on April 29th and have not hit those highs since. With what has happened in the markets lately, however, might it be time to get back into equities? Words: 695

The peak nominal price of gold ($850/ozt.) occurred on January 21, 1980, which would correspond to about $2,450 in today's dollars according to my calculations using the CPI. If history repeats itself [exactly, then] gold will gain another 35% or so, briefly, before becoming one of the worst investments in the world for the next decade or two. [Let me explain.] Words: 558

The herd continues to stampede into U.S. Treasury debt of every possible maturity to, theoretically, avoid risk. Yields on AA+ 10-yr bonds can be locked in to yield 2.11% per year and you get your principal back in 10 years. [As we see it, though] the only justification for [such a meagre] return on invested capital must be tied to the belief that a return is better than nothing given the prospects of a future depression. We believe, however, that fighting the Fed and investing like a depression is coming is not the right way to position your portfolio. [Below are 20 suggestions on how to generate in excess of 2.11% returns plus strong appreciation potential with modest risk.] Words: 657

Silver has more than doubled [in price] from its 2008 multi-year high...primarily due to demand among the industries of the developing world...and among those industries where silver is virtually irreplaceable... If silver goes too high, however, it could provoke government interference in the name of ensuring national security. Let me explain. Words: 606

The plunge in global markets this week qualifies as a genuine panic according to the VIX index of implied equity volatility divided by the yield on 10-year Treasuries which measures how pessimistic the market is, and how much actual deterioration in the fundamentals there has been... [So,] are we finally on the cusp of "the end of the world as we know it"? Words: 437

Buy-and-hold gold and silver and [the stocks and long-term warrants of quality] precious metals miners - and sleep well at night. [Let me explain why that is the case.] Words: 731

The idea that an increase in the debt ceiling is a solution to anything is nonsense. The event would be simply a can kick forward for a very short period of time. Increasing debt is not a solution to a debt problem. It actually makes the problem worse. It is an act of extending your Federal credit card borrowing line so you can use it to pay your mortgage. Words: 590

Unless the S&P 500 rebounds and stays above 1250-1260, the recent 10% drop in the index may well be an indication that the markets have capitulated and a signal of the beginning of a renewed severe downturn. Words: 752

In a first since the bear market bottom of March 9, 2009 and the Dow Theory bull market indication on July 24, 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average have signaled the beginning of a bear market. [Let us explain.] Words: 824

Given that the financial system is now even more leveraged than it was during the tech bubble… and that we’ve added TRILLIONS in debt to the U.S.’s balance sheet...another systemic collapse [was to be expected and, in fact, was predicted by]... a stock market pattern that has occurred multiple times in the last century - and everytime it did, things got UGLY [- just like it is doing this time. Let's take a look.] Words: 422