Martin Armstrong provides a remarkable explanation of what is going on right now with the U.S. dollar, bond yields and the current price of gold. It would be well worth your time to read and reflect on what he has to say. Words: 822
Read More »Gold & Silver Miners: What’s the Best Time to Invest in the Producers – and in the Juniors? (+3K Views)
While juniors, mid-tiers and large producers will usually bottom around the same time, they each outperform at different times. In this missive we look at some charts to decipher when its time to buy [each category and when one or the other] should be avoided. Words: 470
Read More »Gold Reserves: Who Are the 10 Biggest Owners – and How Soon Might China Become #1? (+2K Views)
China currently is a distant 5th behind the U.S. in the extent of gold reserves it currently owns but gives every indication that it is intent on adding more. How long might it take for China to be number one in gold reserves?
Read More »What Does the Current "Q Ratio" Say About U.S. Equities? (+2K Views)
The Q Ratio is a popular method of estimating the fair value of the stock market developed by Nobel Laureate James Tobin. My latest estimates [suggest] that the broad stock market is about 33% above its arithmetic mean and 42% above its geometric mean......Periods of over- and under-valuation can last for many years at a time, however, so the Q Ratio is not a useful indicator for short-term investment timelines [and, as such,] is more appropriate for formulating expectations for long-term market performance. [Let me review the Q ratio with you, along with several graphs, so you can clearly understand what the Q ratio is, how it works and what it is currently conveying.] Words: 800
Read More »Goldman Sachs’ Leading Indicators Signal Steep Market Crash Ahead (+3K Views)
Goldman Sachs reports their Global Economic Indicators (GLI) show the world has re-entered a contraction and...is predicting a market crash worse than that of the early 90′s recession and one slightly less than the sell-off at the turn of the millennium. [Below are graphs to support their contentions.] Words: 250
Read More »Is Now the Time to Acquire Gold – Or Run Away From It?
Is this the time to acquire gold? Or is this the time to run away from it? Either answer could be correct, depending upon what course government chooses. Government is at a decision point, one that will determine how our economic malaise next turns. [Let's review their choices.] Words: 922
Read More »The Lessons Learned from 2008 Will Maximize Returns and Protect Your Assets This Time Round (+2K Views)
My 3 favorite barometers for gauging investor sentiment in order to predict market outlook...are SPY as a proxy for U.S. stock markets...GLD as a proxy for commodities and TLT as a proxy for U.S. bonds, and when these 3 markets make big moves, it´s time to pay attention to what they´re saying. [Let's review] how these 3 markets reacted during the crisis of 2009-2009 and then compare them to current market conditions. [Doing so] can give you an edge to be better positioned for the rest of this year. Words: 972
Read More »The Case Against Physical Gold and For Gold ETFs
This article is probably going to draw a lot of heat. Regardless, I feel it is only fair to present both sides of the argument when it comes to owning physical gold vs. owning gold ETFs. [Here they are.] Words: 497
Read More »4 Reasons Europe is a Major Risk for U.S. Stocks
[While] it is true that the US economy is doing much better than Europe’s, and especially southern Europe’s, from my perspective, the trajectory of the U.S. economy and the U.S. stock market are very much tied to eurozone events. Here are four reasons why U.S. investors should not underestimate the potential impact of events in Europe. Words: 450
Read More »Does Gold’s "purchasing-power-protection" Price History Suggest Gold is Over-priced? (+3K Views)
The spectacular rally in the gold price over recent years [has] many observers asking if the precious metal has not moved ahead of its fundamentals...[and if it] has not entered speculative bubble territory. [To address that concern] I have calculated the purchasing-power-protection price of gold for the 43 years from 1970 to 2012 and compared it to the average market price for gold in every year [along with some background of events unfolding over each decade during that time period which should prove] useful as a framework for how to think about the [current] dollar-price of gold. [I think you will find it most enlightening. Take a look.] Words: 3973
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