Asset Allocation

The S&P 500 has rebounded about 100% in 100 weeks. What crisis? What new normal? The economy is recovering and happy times are back again. Old normal is back. Stocks for the long run! Permabears be damned! The permabulls are back! Rates are low, core inflation is low. It's Goldilocks time! [Hold on, though. That's only half the picture and the other half does not paint such a rosy picture. Let me explain.] Words: 959

Confessions of a Conservative Investor Back in 2004 I made the momentous decision to sell my house in a real estate market that was still spiralling northward rather than wait for it to peak and then try to bail out as it declined. I knew that my cautious [and conservative] inclinations would cause me to miss out on further upside …

Back in 2004 I made the momentous decision to sell my house in a real estate market that was still spiralling northward rather than wait for it to peak and then try to bail out as it declined. I knew that my cautious [and conservative] inclinations would cause me to miss out on further upside gains, but I saw the writing on the wall – two walls, in fact. I realized it was just a matter of time before the housing bubble burst and believed that commodities were about to take off. Words: 1111

In stormy times, investors look for something solid to hang onto—something like gold. The World Bank president himself, Robert Zoellick, suggested in November that the world’s economies could use the old reliable metal to help stabilize their currencies. For these and many other reasons gold has nowhere to go but up. [Let me explain.] Words: 1465

In spite of the continuing ascent of the stock market we are not in a perfectly bullish scenario because a major concern going forward is whether or not the Bush tax cuts will be extended. I am of the opinion that they will be, because if they are not, then the markets will have a very ugly December.

[Are you one of the] millions of people who lost money over the past decade in stocks and housing [who] are now buying bonds, annuities, and other fixed deposit credit based investments? [If so you are probably doing so because you] think it is the conservative [thing to do but, in fact, you] are really a [being a] speculator buying an asset far above its intrinsic value with the idea that someone else will pay even more [and such action] is guaranteed to disappoint. [Instead, you should make] alternative investments the core of your portfolio. Words: 834

I believe the precious and base metals sectors are critically important to your portfolio and that the single best defense you can take for your portfolio is to go on the offense and to use precious and base metals investments - especially gold -to protect your wealth from the ravages of a falling dollar and to capitalize on a myriad of wealth-building opportunities. Words: 2010

Wealth protection is now more important than probably at any other time in history. Physical gold and possibly other precious metals directly controlled by the investor will be a vital part of a wealth preservation portfolio. Words: 1614

RBS is sounding the alarm on risk assets with a call that markets are at risk of falling off the edge of the cliff - by as much as 60-70%! They refer to equity investors as the “worst cult in history….which has no basis in fact, or history, but yet seems universally accepted.” They believe the current downturn could very well “destroy” this “cult”. They’re not just bullish on treasuries –they are super bulls with a 2% target on 10 year yields. Words: 1378

The most important cycle change for your wealth, health, life, family, business, and investments is just ahead during the first and last depression you are likely to experience in your lifetime. Words: 418