Gold & Silver

What has been missing during this 3+ year decline in PMs has been what we have pointed to on several occasions, a form of ending action that sends a message that a change in trend is in progress. Last Thursday and Friday’s sharply higher volume and wide ranges lower is the kind of activity that leads to the end of a trend. There is not enough to say it has happened, to be sure, but the end game is starting to step up and be closer to a resolve of ending of the down trend. [Let me explain further.]

The $15 zone in silver looks to be an interesting point at which to start buying. Here's why.

Few investment opportunities arise in our lifetime like silver. The stage is set for a percentage gain of extraordinary magnitude! Forget the popular refrain of “Got Gold?” and make some additions to your portfolio to take advantage of the coming silver supernova!

Sit back and take a look at the economic & financial situation in the world today and I wouldn't be surprised in the least that you will conclude that it makes sense to own some physical gold and/or silver - and there couldn't be a better time than now, with both down so much in price, to start accumulating some as finances permit.

When you're talking to a gold bug it is much like arguing with a priest about religion — it is a daunting task but to my gold bug friends here again is why I'm not that big on gold. Words: 725

Has anything changed for silver? [Not really.] The only change is that the media is telling us the economy is doing better; hence, investors are not buying into the precious metal sector. The reality of the situation is that the supply of silver in the market is declining, while demand is rising by the double-digits. [As a result, in my opinion,] pessimism towards the “poor man’s gold” has gone too far. In fact, I’m expecting silver to provide investors with a better return than gold bullion over the next 24 months. Below is my explanation why.

The downside risks to owning gold are much greater than the upside risks. Without the onslaught of newly rich Asian buyers its price is coming back down to more closely track those of other commodity prices and, while I worry that central banks may inadvertently spark a round of higher inflation in the years to come, if I had to reconcile those two views, I would say that today's elevated real price of gold has effectively priced in a lot of higher inflation in the future. This article presents 6 charts which clearly illustrate just what is currently going on.

The continuing upward trend in the gold/silver ratio (continuing weakness in silver relative to gold) is not in conflict with the view that gold commenced a cyclical bull market last December and is working its way through a lengthy basing process. Here are the details:

We are at an interesting and perhaps critical juncture with respect to the direction of the gold price as it approaches a key support level. There are many mixed signals out there and the market seems to be vacillating, frustrating both bulls and the bears. Let us look at both cases in order to try to understand what the gold market may have in store for us during the coming weeks and months.

Silver currently looks inexpensive compared to crude oil, the S&P 500 and the size and rate of increase of the national debt suggesting silver is ready to rally.