Gold

Very poor sentiment towards gold and oversold conditions is reminiscent of the conditions seen in late 2008 and January 2009 [as seen in the chart below] when gold prices had fallen by more than 25% in 9 months. Subsequently, gold rose from a low on January 15, 2009 at $802.60/oz to a high less than 12 months later at $1,215/oz for a gain of over 50%. A similar move today would see gold above $1,800/oz by year end.

Following a brutal year for bullion in 2013 and an even worse year for gold miners, those bullish on the yellow metal and the companies that extract it from the earth may finally have something to hang their hats on.

Is Gold still in a downtrend or has it actually broken its downtrend? Both as it turns out, but only if viewed from the proper perspective. Let me explain.

If your perception is focused solely on where the price of gold is, as opposed to where you think or believe it ought to be, the elites would like to sell you a renewable subscription to their “Fiat Is Better” newsletter.

Because the natural laws of supply and demand do not apply to gold and silver, the only way we can track the influence of endless paper supply on the market is through the most reliable source, the market itself, and the best way to track the market is through charts.Let's take a look at what they are conveying today.

munKNEE.com will receive well over 1,000,000 visitors again in 2013 and is now the “go-to” destination for diversified commentary and analyses on the current gold & silver doldrums and the future expectations for these precious metals. Below are introductions (with links) to the 13 most read such articles in 2013 in order of popularity. Interestingly, each of the 13 are as relevant today as the day they were posted so they are well worth taking the time to read.

Does the fast-fading world reserve currency [the USD] look like it is collapsing? A look at the performance of the U.S. Dollar Index does not suggest that it is, weak as it is. If the fiat dollar is not in danger of imminent “collapse,” or even breaking down, then gold does not have this event as an impetus for rallying higher. [Frankly speaking,] until that changes, gold ain’t going higher, at least in the short term.

Don't you just hate that gloating expression "I told you so!" Well, unfortunately some analysts had the foresight to forecast prices of $1,200 per troy ounce (or less!) and $19 silver several months ago.

The next black swan is already staring us in the face. It's out of control currency debasement and it's going to be a collapse in the purchasing power of the US dollar. [After all,] does anyone seriously think that we can print trillions of dollars out of thin air for five years and not eventually have something bad happen?

The decline is holding near the last swing low. Will the June low hold? The odds are greater for the low not holding, based on the trend, but there is no way to determine the probability of the June low giving way, for it is possible it will not.