Economy

I think it’s important that everybody has a reasonable allocation of gold in their portfolio because...we could be just a few months away from something that is really very scary, and if that happens, gold will go a lot higher.

We're getting some technical confirmation of another major leg up in the buck [confirming my assertion that] we are in the midst of a multi-year bull market in the dollar. Today, I want to put forth 9 reasons why the dollar may have bottomed, show you some current technical analysis on the buck, and share my long-term target for the euro. Words: 703

The media is rife with misrepresentations and analysis of the EU. Here's the real deal, no BS situation with Europe - and its BAD! Words: 900

A look at the status of the economy, and in particular money supply, shows that deflation is starting to show up. Below are 7 charts that support that view. Words: 370

One of the most fundamental relationships of the modern economy is the tie between the amount of energy a country consumes and their GDP and is an excellent way to predict a country's economic productivity. [This article analysis the daily number of barrels of oil consumed for 20 countries relative to their PPP adjusted GDP. Germany has the largest residual of all developed countries followed closely by the U.K. while the U.S. has the poorest and Canada is not far behind. Read on to determine just how efficient your country actually is in its crude oil utilization.] Words: 470

Introduction: "The crisis in the eurozone is the result of France’s persistent pursuit of the “European project,” the goal of political unification that began after World War II [with the hope] that a political union, a United States of Europe similar to America's, would...prevent the types of conflict that had caused three major European wars...[and] also make Europe a power comparable to the United States, and thereby give France, with its sophisticated foreign service, an important role in European and world affairs." [What went wrong and what does the future hold?]

Worries about an economic catastrophe in Europe are heating up again, and dramatic forecasts about doom are popping up everywhere. What's important? How did we get here? Let's put this all in perspective. Words: 2356

You don’t need [actual] deflation—a reduction in the outstanding supply of money—to have markets react to a decrease in the rate of money supply growth..., anticipate the eventual deflation [and begin to price it into the market. Remember 2008?] Oil prices fell from $147 in July of 2008 to $33 per barrel by early 2009. The S&P 500 went into free-fall starting in September of 2008 and bottomed out in March of 2009—falling almost 50% in six months. This is what has already happened to the gold mining sector but, remember, central banks may be on a counterfeiting holiday right now but they have a history of taking very short vacations.

Global investors are now being violently whipsawed by the decisions of central banks, as they switch between inflationary and deflationary policies. The choice governments now face is to allow a deflationary depression to finally purge the worldwide economy of its imbalances, or try to levitate real estate, equity and bond prices by printing massive quantities of their currencies.

When government is wounded, trapped and desperate, it lashes out like a wild animal. Survival in the political class is just as strong a drive as it is in the wilderness. I don’t know how government will lash out, but you are likely to see laws, restrictions and behavior you never imagined....Washington has demonstrated it will “print money” in whatever quantities necessary to stave off a sovereign bankruptcy and a Great Depression but this strategy cannot work forever because existing debt is already too high to be serviced. It is only a matter of time before the U.S. economy succumbs - unless it engineers a 'soft default' [which will save it's ass and get you shafted! Let me explain.] Words: 1394