The permabears are coming out the woodwork. Bad, scary articles and news seem to attract more attention and eyeballs than good news articles or those that offer a counterbalanced view. Whenever someone gets interviewed on US TV, it’s for someone proclaiming the end of the expansion – you never see them interviewing someone offering a counter view of a more positive nature. This article gives you a balanced, opposing view to the tiresome popular perma-bear consensus so that you can make your own balanced decision. [As for our own conclusion, we don't see imminent recession. Here's why.] Words: 1315
Read More »“Joe’s Index” Suggests Joe Sixpack Coming Back to the Consumption Trough
Econintersect has been playing with an economic index based on the world as seen by Joe Sixpack. For lack of a final name, we have used a development tag of “Joe’s Index” which is based on Joe’s real income and the change in his home value, which, to various degrees, Joe sees as income (and/or wealth) gain or loss. Joe’s Index is indicating Joe Sixpack is coming back to the consumption trough. [Let us explain why we have come to that conclusion.] Words: 380
Read More »"Joe's Index" Suggests Joe Sixpack Coming Back to the Consumption Trough
Econintersect has been playing with an economic index based on the world as seen by Joe Sixpack. For lack of a final name, we have used a development tag of “Joe’s Index” which is based on Joe’s real income and the change in his home value, which, to various degrees, Joe sees as income (and/or wealth) gain or loss. Joe’s Index is indicating Joe Sixpack is coming back to the consumption trough. [Let us explain why we have come to that conclusion.] Words: 380
Read More »When EU Crisis Hits France This Autumn – Germany Will Walk! – Here’s Why
The future of the eurozone all boils down to Germany. I've been forecasting for months that Germany will increasingly focus on domestic interests and that it will ultimately opt to leave the Euro rather than prop up the EU. The former (focusing on domestic issues) is already underway and I believe the latter will occur once the EU Crisis spreads to France which I expect to happen before autumn. At that point, it's game over for any notion of the current EU lasting because Germany will walk! [Let me explain further.] Words: 675
Read More »When EU Crisis Hits France This Autumn – Germany Will Walk! – Here's Why
The future of the eurozone all boils down to Germany. I've been forecasting for months that Germany will increasingly focus on domestic interests and that it will ultimately opt to leave the Euro rather than prop up the EU. The former (focusing on domestic issues) is already underway and I believe the latter will occur once the EU Crisis spreads to France which I expect to happen before autumn. At that point, it's game over for any notion of the current EU lasting because Germany will walk! [Let me explain further.] Words: 675
Read More »Worldwide Economic Slowdown Suggests Stock Prices Will Follow – Here’s Why
I don't think it's any stretch [of the imagination] to say that we are now facing a coordinated economic slowdown the likes of which we haven't seen since 2008 and, frankly, something has to give — and my belief is that it will be stock prices! Here's why. Words: 710
Read More »Worldwide Economic Slowdown Suggests Stock Prices Will Follow – Here's Why
I don't think it's any stretch [of the imagination] to say that we are now facing a coordinated economic slowdown the likes of which we haven't seen since 2008 and, frankly, something has to give — and my belief is that it will be stock prices! Here's why. Words: 710
Read More »Probability of Global Recession Increasing – Here’s Why
This past week we received the latest PMI readings for the world as a whole (48.9), the eurozone (46.4), and for 30+ individual countries [Read: Telling It Like It Is: Latest PMIs Reveal Truth About the Global Economy]...and the latest numbers signal contraction and even more so when adjusted to reflect the concentration of GDP by countries/region. [Let me explain.] Words: 600
Read More »Probability of Global Recession Increasing – Here's Why
This past week we received the latest PMI readings for the world as a whole (48.9), the eurozone (46.4), and for 30+ individual countries [Read: Telling It Like It Is: Latest PMIs Reveal Truth About the Global Economy]...and the latest numbers signal contraction and even more so when adjusted to reflect the concentration of GDP by countries/region. [Let me explain.] Words: 600
Read More »Low Real Interest Rates = Continued High Prices for Gold – but For How Long?
Why is it that the demand for gold moves inversely to interest rates - that the higher the rate of interest the lower the demand for gold, the lower the rate of interest the higher the demand for gold? [Let me explain why and what the future seems to hold.] Words: 1053
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