Sentiment in the precious metals sector is in the toilet yet the fundamentals for the sector are off the walls positive. That is not secret, but it is what creates huge market moves in the direction of the fundamentals. In fact, market management will never move price against the underlying fundamentals for too long a period of time.
Read More »The Captains of Monetary Policy Have Not Grasped These Priceless Lessons of History & At Our Expense!
If you are clearly watching, listening and paying attention to what is going on around you, and not what the press 'conjures up' and the political apparatus 'spins', then the following lessons, in the following sequence, should resonate with you. [Unfortunately, however,] the captains of world monetary policy have not and, as such, they have put the world on a course that history has warned us against [and we will eventually pay the price of their ignorance and ineptitude. Take a look. These words of wisdom (lessons) are as timely today as when first spoken/written.] Words: 865
Read More »What’s Presently Occurring Is Unsustainable & It’s Inevitable It Will End – Badly! Here’s Why
To any sane person who has a grasp of what is presently occurring, it is obvious that the current state of affairs is unsustainable. The question is how long can the monetary captains' misguided policies keep us off the shoals of our economic destruction. How long can policies of "extend and pretend", "kick the can down the road" or "fake it until you make it" continue? The answer is unknowable but...when something is UNSUSTAINABLE it is INEVITABLE that it will END. TIME is the only unknown. The certainty of it ending BADLY is not. Words: 1265; Charts: 6
Read More »Alf Field: Once $1,800 Is Taken Out Gold Will See a Vigorous Climb to $4,500 Area (2K Views)
There is a high probability that the correction in the gold price that started in early October at $1797 has been completed. Once $1800 is taken out on the upside the gold chart will look tremendous. A beautiful “cup and handle” base would then provide strong support for a vigorous upward climb in the precious metal. At this stage there is no reason to abandon the rough target of $4500 for this coming upward wave. [Below is my analysis and some charts on the situation.] Words: 434; Charts: 2
Read More »These Charts Suggest a Possible +/-60% Decline in the S&P 500 by 2014 (+3K Views)
J.P. Morgan Asset Management has developed a chart showing the past two cycles in the S&P 500 highlighting peak and trough valuations. At face value it is very alarming as it suggests a potential decline of somewhere in the vicinity of 60% over the next year or two and concurs with previous innovative trend analyses included in this article. Charts: 4
Read More »Will the U.S. Follow in the Footsteps of the Once Great – and Now Financially Desperate – Argentina? I Wonder
Like health, freedom erodes gradually over time... then all at once. We lose a freedom here, there, through a slow, measured deterioration of civil and economic liberty: body scanners at the airport; declarations of foreign accounts; mandatory health insurance and then, suddenly, there's a bifurcation point when the deterioration goes nonlinear. It's like the old saying about going broke-- it happens gradually, then all at once. We lose our freedoms in the same way. [That is already happening in Argentina where the government is] screwing everyone, big time: banks, businesses, workers, retirees, professionals, entrepreneurs, even government employees and the U.S. is starting to go down this road as well. [Let me explain.] Words: 625
Read More »A Visual Snapshot of Market Signals, Commodity Trends & Economic Indicators – January Edition
VC Market Intelligence is a new monthly infographic from Visual Capitalist that summarizes changes in economic indicators, relevant news stories, commodity and financial trends, and provides technical analysis. The goal is to make this information intuitive and visual to the average commodity investor.
Read More »Byron Wien: 10 Events That Will Likely “Surprise” Us In 2013 (2K Views)
For the 28th year running I have given my views on a number of economic, financial market and political surprises for the coming year....defined as events which the average investor would only assign a 30% chance of taking place but which I believe are “probable”, having a better than 50% likelihood of happening. [Below is my list of 10 surprises for 2013, complete with my rationale for each.] Words: 1037
Read More »Say “I WILL NOT PAY!”: An Open Letter to Those Under 18 (+2K Views)
I implore you to pass around this letter to your friends. Talk about it among you. Post it up on Facebook, Twitter and elsewhere. Discuss the fact that our government and your parents think you are going to pay over $180,000, and rising rapidly, so that us older folks can have our cake and eat it too...and then force you, the children of this nation, to cover our selfishness and outrageous conduct. I say to you in this open letter that it is your right to stand as American citizens, irrespective of your age who have not yet consented, and say in a loud, clear, singular voice: "I WILL NOT PAY!" Words: 2112
Read More »4 Graphics That Put Important Economic & Investing News Into Perspective
Say "goodbye" to long-winded commentary. Instead, say "hello" to easy-to-understand graphics to put important economic and investing news into perspective for you and some quick-hit observations on non-stop government spending, the importance of emerging markets and the next sovereign debt crisis. Words: 340; Charts: 4
Read More »