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Yearly Archives: 2011

Dow Theory Signals New Bear Market is Imminent (+2K Views)

In a first since the bear market bottom of March 9, 2009 and the Dow Theory bull market indication on July 24, 2009, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average have signaled the beginning of a bear market. [Let us explain.] Words: 824

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This Pattern Forecast the Crash (+2K Views)

Given that the financial system is now even more leveraged than it was during the tech bubble… and that we’ve added TRILLIONS in debt to the U.S.’s balance sheet...another systemic collapse [was to be expected and, in fact, was predicted by]... a stock market pattern that has occurred multiple times in the last century - and everytime it did, things got UGLY [- just like it is doing this time. Let's take a look.] Words: 422

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Update: Why $300+ Silver is a Realistic Future Peak Price (+3K Views)

Silver escalated in price by 81.1% in the 12 months ending June 30th, 2011 compared to gold's 19.3%. As such the gold:silver ratio fell from 67: 1 to 44: 1 over that period. This is still way out of whack with the long-term historical relationship between the two precious metals and begs the question: “Is now the perfect time to buy silver instead of the much more expensive gold metal?” Words: 1490

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July Update: Gold & Silver Warrants Index (GSWI) (+9K Views)

Virtually nothing is being written these days on the long-term warrants associated with a few gold and silver mining companies. I suppose that is to be expected given that there are only 22 such warrants and they are associated with only 19 companies in total. That is unfortunate because those who are in the know can take advantage of the significant leverage warrants generate in a bull market over investing in physical gold and silver, precious metals company stocks and mutual/exchange traded funds. What am I talking about - and which warrants am I referring to? Let me explain. Words: 1703

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Don’t Buy Yet – Wait Until a Renewed Uptrend is Confirmed!

[To say that the market has capitulated] implies that the market has bottomed and that now is a good time to buy stocks. In my opinion, that is completely wrong. The market is building momentum to the downside...[and] the odds are that the inevitable reactionary bounce is a short reprieve on the way further down. If the capitulation results in a new and meaningful uptrend (and that is a big “if”), we will see that in the charts. Words: 552

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Market Crash Will Hit By Christmas 2011! Here's Why

At the beginning of 2011 USA Today reported...[that] Ned Davis Research says the S&P 500 will make a run at the 2007 high of 1,565, hit a “midyear peak” [and] then it will crash as interest rates rise...concluding that “the midyear peak could mark the end of the cyclical bull market that began in March 2009 and the start of a new cyclical bear market.” Words: 637

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Jim Rogers: Situation to Worsen in U.S. and Lead to Social Unrest

You think the problems are bad now? You wait until we don't have any more credit. You wait until the currency is collapsing. You wait until interest rates are going through the roof and inflation is going through the roof. It's not going to be a pretty picture. There will be social unrest. [See below for the link to the interview.] Words: 477

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The S&P 500 is Highly Vulnerable – Here's Why

The headwinds mentioned below and the massive rally in the stock market over the last few years leave equity markets highly vulnerable. At the very least I think we will test the lower end of the S&P trading range (1250) in the very near future. [Let me explain.] Words: 659

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Forecast for House Prices is Horrific! Here’s Why (+2K Views)

As bad as the housing crisis has been over the past three years, it has only been a warm up to what we have headed our way... [In fact,] the forecast is horrific, to say the least!28% of US homeowners already owe more on their mortgage than their home is worth [and]... 27% of American homeowners are considering walking away from their mortgage...This is going to significantly drive home prices further down. [Let's look at the details.] Words: 657

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