The conventional stock market investing advice is rooted in myth - rooted in a false understanding of what the historical stock-return data says about investing for the long-term....Set forth below are five reasons why I believe that the conventional stock market investing advice must soon change. Words: 2067
Read More »Stop! If You Sell in May and Go Away This Year You’ll Regret It – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
[The adage "sell in May and go away" refers to selling one's stocks in May, going into cash, and then waiting until November before buying back into the market. That] has worked the past two years...[This time round, however,] we believe there is a high probability that you would be buying at a higher price [in November] than... [what if you were to sell out] in May of 2012. [Let us explain why we are of that view.] Words: 406
Read More »Ignore Guru Opinions: 66% Get It WRONG More Than 50% of the Time! Here’s How They Compare (+2K Views)
Can experts, whether self-proclaimed or endorsed by others (publications), provide reliable stock market timing guidance? Do some experts clearly show better intuition about overall market direction than others? [NO is the answer to the first question and YES to the second. Let us explain how we came to those conclusions.] Words:360
Read More »David Dreman More Accurately Forecasts Market Trends Than Most Anyone Else – Here Is His Record
We evaluate here the commentary of David Dreman at Forbes.com regarding the stock market via his archived articles since the beginning of 2001 [and what an accomplished record it is. He is tied for second place with Ken Fisher with a 64% accuracy rating which is well above the 46% rating of a list of 36 of his peers. Jack Schannep is the most accurate at 66%. Below are his market forecasts on specific sectors of the market over the years compared to how well said sectors actually did.] Words: 1706
Read More »Ian Campbell Comments on the World vs. Market Reality Disconnect & the "Nerds on Wall Street"
The world is on the verge of becoming a cauldron of Disorder [y]et the market is orderly for now and people refuse to fully acknowledge it. This inability to compartmentalize the "world reality" from the "market reality" is costing investors money. The world isn't likely to end well in the not too distant future but for now the market is doing just fine. Words: 610
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